Reports from Italy suggest that Rafael Leão is increasingly likely to be sold by AC Milan this summer. A single statistic appears to highlight the reason why the Rossoneri are contemplating parting ways with the Portuguese international.
The 2025-26 season has been a mixed bag for AC Milan. Despite occupying second place for significant portions of the campaign, the team experienced a drastic downturn in form during April, securing only four points from six matches. This slump nearly saw them drop out of the Serie A top four.
However, their chances of securing a Champions League spot for the upcoming season received a significant boost with a 2-1 away victory against Genoa. This win came in the absence of the suspended Leão. Coupled with Juventus’s 2-0 home defeat to Fiorentina, AC Milan now holds a two-point advantage over fifth place heading into the final round of league fixtures next weekend.
Could Milan Have Contended for the Title Without Leão?
The fact that the Rossoneri secured a crucial victory without Leão on Sunday casts a negative light on the 26-year-old’s overall impact.
Leão has participated in 28 out of AC Milan’s 37 Serie A matches this season. In the nine games he has missed, the team has managed seven wins, one draw, and one loss, averaging an impressive 2.44 points per game when he is not on the field.
An average of 2.44 points per game over a full 38-game season would translate to approximately 92 points, a tally that would have been sufficient to win the league title in four of the last five Serie A seasons. For context, Inter Milan won the Scudetto in 2025-26 with an average of 2.32 points per game.
In contrast, AC Milan’s points average stands at 1.71 points per game when Leão is in the lineup. Over a full season, this would result in just under 65 points, which, in the 2025-26 season, would place them in seventh position, likely competing for a Europa Conference League spot.
